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Red44
77135.5
132220.8
570213.3
Blue80
778220.3
14135.5
972216.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3474020601001201404480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+36
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +29
4Coral scored#9
15Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
19Total teleop48
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
44Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1322
#29
20.80.8
17.418.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End5.8
blue by 14.7
141
#3
35.51.5
31.833.3
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End7.2
Second
5702
#31
13.30.8
12.413.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End1.9
blue by 7.0
7782
#13
20.31.5
16.317.8
Auto4.2
Teleop15.9
End0.2
Third
7713
#36
5.50.8
5.36.1
Auto0.9
Teleop1.8
End2.7
blue by 11.1
9722
#28
16.61.5
14.916.4
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned