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Red65
968210.2
663730.8
924921.8
Blue55
973315.5
483512.0
498814.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions663102040801001201401606555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+16Teleop
+8Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +6
7Coral scored#8
25Coral points27
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
45Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +8
2Cage & park10
2Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
2Foul points0
65Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.7
28.028.7
Auto7.1
Teleop23.2
End0.4
red by 15.3
9733
#18
15.52.1
10.112.2
Auto3.1
Teleop11.0
End1.4
Second
21.80.7
18.218.9
Auto4.0
Teleop15.9
End1.9
red by 7.1
4988
#35
14.72.1
12.214.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Third
9682
#22
10.20.7
8.79.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End1.4
blue by 1.8
4835
#21
12.02.1
9.211.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed