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Red98
608825.2
611220.5
524720.7
Blue112
439164.9
778220.3
360221.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54120010015020098112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+40
Endgame+30
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +33
11Coral scored#22
39Coral points78
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
59Total teleop92
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#9
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
16Foul points0
98Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6088
#10
25.22.2
18.820.9
Auto4.1
Teleop17.2
End3.9
blue by 39.6
64.90.8
62.363.1
Auto11.9
Teleop45.8
End7.2
Second
5247
#25
20.72.2
17.519.6
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.9
blue by 0.8
3602
#11
21.50.8
22.423.2
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End2.7
Third
6112
#15
20.52.2
19.121.3
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End5.6
red by 0.2
7782
#13
20.30.8
17.818.6
Auto4.2
Teleop15.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsMissed