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Red68
977325.7
77135.5
918815.0
Blue46
483512.0
132220.8
655812.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524602060801001201401606846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+14Teleop
+2Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
7Coral scored#4
26Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
32Total teleop21
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
20Foul points0
68Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9773
#14
25.70.6
23.523.0
Auto6.3
Teleop17.3
End2.1
red by 4.9
1322
#29
20.80.3
18.217.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End5.8
Second
9188
#23
15.00.6
16.515.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End1.5
red by 2.1
6558
#34
12.90.3
12.812.5
Auto1.8
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Third
7713
#36
5.50.6
6.15.5
Auto0.9
Teleop1.8
End2.7
blue by 6.5
4835
#21
12.00.3
11.210.9
Auto2.6
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned