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Red91
656924.5
973315.5
975513.4
Blue125
498814.7
14135.5
663730.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions639520408012014016091125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+28
Endgame+30
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points11
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +17
16Coral scored#13
56Coral points47
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#5
6Processor points24
12Net points20
18Algae points44
74Total teleop91
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
6Cage & park8
6Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
2Foul points6
91Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6569
#33
24.51.0
24.225.2
Auto3.5
Teleop18.8
End2.3
blue by 11.0
141
#3
35.51.5
33.334.8
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End7.2
Second
9733
#18
15.51.0
12.213.2
Auto3.1
Teleop11.0
End1.4
blue by 15.3
30.81.5
28.730.2
Auto7.1
Teleop23.2
End0.4
Third
9755
#19
13.41.0
13.714.8
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.0
blue by 1.3
4988
#35
14.71.5
14.315.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned