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Red67
954822.2
482716.1
Blue40
96748.8
570213.3
1062211.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5641020801001201406740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+13Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +16
7Coral scored#4
24Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
42Total teleop26
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#7
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
67Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9548
#12
22.21.0
21.822.8
Auto2.7
Teleop13.2
End6.3
red by 8.9
5702
#31
13.30.3
13.212.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Second
4827
#17
16.11.0
16.017.0
Auto2.5
Teleop12.0
End1.6
red by 4.2
11.90.3
11.511.2
Auto2.3
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Third
9.31.0
8.99.9
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End3.4
red by 0.5
9674
#38
8.80.3
10.29.9
Auto1.8
Teleop6.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned7%Barge oddsMissed