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Red45
607915.0
437525.8
611312.8
Blue79
954822.2
1062211.9
85730.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5576020401001204579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+6
Endgame+28
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +3
5Coral scored#7
19Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
29Total teleop32
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points6
45Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.5
24.323.8
Auto6.2
Teleop17.8
End1.8
blue by 4.4
857
#2
30.20.7
29.930.6
Auto6.1
Teleop18.2
End5.8
Second
6079
#26
15.00.5
14.313.8
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End3.0
blue by 7.2
9548
#12
22.20.7
22.823.5
Auto2.7
Teleop13.2
End6.3
Third
6113
#30
12.80.5
13.312.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End2.1
red by 0.9
11.90.7
11.211.9
Auto2.3
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned