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Red52
975513.4
924921.8
360221.5
Blue41
132220.8
968210.2
611312.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55592040801005241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +9
3Coral scored#2
12Coral points7
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
16Total teleop7
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
18Foul points18
52Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.81.9
16.314.4
Auto4.0
Teleop15.9
End1.9
red by 1.0
1322
#29
20.83.0
17.914.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End5.8
Second
3602
#11
21.51.9
21.619.6
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End2.7
red by 8.7
6113
#30
12.83.0
15.212.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End2.1
Third
9755
#19
13.41.9
13.511.5
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.0
red by 3.3
9682
#22
10.23.0
16.713.7
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed