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Red89
258634.1
972216.6
663730.8
Blue100
977325.7
1050517.9
776827.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92672040608010012014016089100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave9
8Coral scored#1
40Coral points3
40Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +33
9Coral scored#11
33Coral points40
0Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
0Processor points18
12Net points20
12Algae points38
45Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#4
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points6
89Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.10.2
33.633.8
Auto10.3
Teleop21.5
End2.4
red by 6.7
27.50.7
25.025.7
Auto3.2
Teleop21.2
End3.1
Second
30.80.2
30.230.4
Auto7.1
Teleop23.2
End0.4
red by 5.1
9773
#14
25.70.7
23.324.0
Auto6.3
Teleop17.3
End2.1
Third
9722
#28
16.60.2
16.016.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End1.2
blue by 1.4
17.90.7
15.516.2
Auto1.9
Teleop15.3
End0.8