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Red58
85730.2
14135.5
975513.4
Blue63
611220.5
360221.5
656924.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99822040601201401605863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+1
+1Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
9Coral scored#8
33Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
39Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points6
58Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#3
35.50.6
35.935.3
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End7.2
red by 11.0
6569
#33
24.50.4
25.124.7
Auto3.5
Teleop18.8
End2.3
Second
857
#2
30.20.6
30.630.0
Auto6.1
Teleop18.2
End5.8
red by 8.7
3602
#11
21.50.4
22.121.7
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End2.7
Third
9755
#19
13.40.6
13.913.2
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.0
blue by 7.1
6112
#15
20.50.4
21.120.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End5.6