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Red86
437525.8
554720.0
608825.2
Blue73
607915.0
924921.8
778220.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705302040801001201401608673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +11
14Coral scored#10
50Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
12Processor points6
4Net points12
16Algae points18
66Total teleop55
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points2
86Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.5
23.824.3
Auto6.2
Teleop17.8
End1.8
red by 4.0
21.80.4
20.621.0
Auto4.0
Teleop15.9
End1.9
Second
6088
#10
25.20.5
23.223.7
Auto4.1
Teleop17.2
End3.9
red by 5.0
7782
#13
20.30.4
19.019.4
Auto4.2
Teleop15.9
End0.2
Third
5547
#24
20.00.5
18.018.5
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End2.7
red by 5.0
6079
#26
15.00.4
13.814.2
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End3.0