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Red147
1058943.9
132220.8
439164.9
Blue61
954822.2
548617.0
482716.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14559010020014761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+98Teleop
+104Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave3
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +80
15Coral scored#5
53Coral points17
4Processor algae#0
7Net algae#2
24Processor points0
28Net points8
52Algae points8
105Total teleop25
Reef
6L4#2
7L3#3
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#9
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +86
0Foul points18
147Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.5
61.862.3
Auto11.9
Teleop45.8
End7.2
red by 42.6
9548
#12
22.20.4
23.523.0
Auto2.7
Teleop13.2
End6.3
Second
43.90.5
40.841.3
Auto7.9
Teleop33.3
End2.7
red by 26.9
5486
#16
17.00.4
18.217.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End2.7
Third
1322
#29
20.80.5
17.718.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End5.8
red by 4.7
4827
#17
16.10.4
17.316.9
Auto2.5
Teleop12.0
End1.6