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Red44
975513.4
972216.6
918815.0
Blue57
548617.0
968210.2
482716.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625802040801001201404457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+13
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +13
7Coral scored#8
24Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
28Total teleop41
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
44Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9722
#28
16.60.9
16.916.0
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End1.2
blue by 0.5
5486
#16
17.00.3
17.918.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End2.7
Second
9188
#23
15.00.9
15.915.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End1.5
blue by 1.1
4827
#17
16.10.3
17.017.3
Auto2.5
Teleop12.0
End1.6
Third
9755
#19
13.40.9
14.813.9
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.0
red by 3.3
9682
#22
10.20.3
9.910.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed