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Red140
85730.2
14135.5
975513.4
Blue113
258634.1
972216.6
663730.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9295607080100110120130140140113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+3Teleop
+15Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave3
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points30
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +20
17Coral scored#14
62Coral points50
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
18Processor points6
16Net points20
34Algae points26
96Total teleop76
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#8
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +27
12Foul points0
140Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#3
35.50.7
35.336.0
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End7.2
red by 1.4
34.10.4
33.834.1
Auto10.3
Teleop21.5
End2.4
Second
857
#2
30.20.7
30.030.7
Auto6.1
Teleop18.2
End5.8
blue by 0.6
30.80.4
30.430.8
Auto7.1
Teleop23.2
End0.4
Third
9755
#19
13.40.7
13.213.9
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.0
blue by 3.1
9722
#28
16.60.4
16.216.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End1.2