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Red60
611220.5
360221.5
656924.5
Blue87
977325.7
1050517.9
776827.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787402003004005006087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+37
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +34
7Coral scored#13
25Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
35Total teleop69
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
60Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6569
#33
24.50.2
24.724.5
Auto3.5
Teleop18.8
End2.3
blue by 3.0
27.50.5
25.726.2
Auto3.2
Teleop21.2
End3.1
Second
3602
#11
21.50.2
21.721.5
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End2.7
blue by 4.2
9773
#14
25.70.5
24.024.4
Auto6.3
Teleop17.3
End2.1
Third
6112
#15
20.50.2
20.720.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End5.6
red by 2.6
17.90.5
16.216.7
Auto1.9
Teleop15.3
End0.8