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Red158
3360.4
125023.5
353856.8
Blue108
828025.0
341433.8
543635.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1589250200158108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+52Teleop
+54Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave3
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points33
30Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +58
19Coral scored#11
68Coral points38
3Processor algae#1
8Net algae#4
18Processor points6
32Net points16
50Algae points22
118Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#8
9L3#4
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
8Cage & park6
8Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +50
2Foul points6
158Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
60.40.3
61.061.3
Auto11.6
Teleop39.7
End9.1
red by 25.4
5436
#13
35.00.2
35.235.4
Auto7.5
Teleop19.5
End8.1
Second
56.80.3
57.457.7
Auto18.1
Teleop37.6
End1.1
red by 23.0
33.80.2
34.034.2
Auto9.0
Teleop21.5
End3.2
Third
1250
#25
23.50.3
24.124.4
Auto6.1
Teleop14.1
End3.3
blue by 1.4
8280
#20
25.00.2
25.125.3
Auto7.2
Teleop15.7
End2.1