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Red27
1028510.2
468023.4
564211.4
Blue123
661831.4
553042.2
317538.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56104015027123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+96
Endgame+96
Fouls+96
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
3Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +87
4Coral scored#16
16Coral points57
0Processor algae#5
1Net algae#5
0Processor points30
4Net points20
4Algae points50
20Total teleop107
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#4
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +96
0Foul points0
27Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4680
#29
23.44.1
19.315.2
Auto3.0
Teleop19.5
End0.8
blue by 18.8
5530
#11
42.22.6
26.028.6
Auto9.2
Teleop26.6
End6.4
Second
5642
#37
11.44.1
16.412.3
Auto1.7
Teleop7.6
End2.1
blue by 26.5
38.02.6
36.839.4
Auto8.1
Teleop28.1
End1.8
Third
10.22.0
15.713.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 21.2
6618
#21
31.42.6
24.527.1
Auto5.7
Teleop22.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed