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Red20
65678.2
505012.7
828025.0
Blue64
516712.2
877411.8
24739.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76762040506070802064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+34
Endgame+38
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +30
2Coral scored#9
7Coral points33
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
11Total teleop41
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points6
20Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8280
#20
25.05.4
20.415.0
Auto7.2
Teleop15.7
End2.1
blue by 14.2
247
#17
39.21.3
23.422.1
Auto5.4
Teleop29.6
End4.2
Second
5050
#36
12.75.4
27.421.9
Auto2.5
Teleop9.4
End0.8
red by 0.4
5167
#31
12.21.3
25.123.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Third
6567
#33
8.25.4
18.513.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End1.9
blue by 3.6
8774
#38
11.81.3
18.317.0
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed