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Qual 112025 FIM District Ferndale Event presented by Magna
Red68
24739.2
656616.7
30232.7
Blue83
759712.3
102536.9
317538.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78942040601201406883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+23
Endgame+33
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +16
8Coral scored#10
30Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
40Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#2
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
18Foul points0
68Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#17
39.22.7
22.1→19.4
Auto5.4
Teleop29.6
End4.2
red by 1.2
3175
#8
38.00.3
39.4→39.1
Auto8.1
Teleop28.1
End1.8
Second
302
#14
32.72.7
30.2→27.4
Auto7.5
Teleop24.3
End0.9
blue by 4.2
1025
#5
36.90.3
24.8→24.6
Auto10.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
Third
6566
#19
16.72.7
16.3→13.6
Auto3.2
Teleop10.1
End3.5
red by 4.5
7597
#26
12.30.3
16.0→15.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned