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Red87
586020.7
438415.8
170150.8
Blue29
661831.4
54677.9
65678.2
78%Model gave it22%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8458020401001201408729

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+56Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +42
8Coral scored#3
30Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
6Processor points0
16Net points0
22Algae points0
52Total teleop10
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
6Foul points6
87Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.80.5
37.538.0
Auto14.9
Teleop34.6
End1.3
red by 19.4
6618
#21
31.43.9
27.123.2
Auto5.7
Teleop22.2
End3.5
Second
5860
#18
20.70.5
21.021.4
Auto5.4
Teleop15.1
End0.2
red by 12.5
6567
#33
8.23.9
13.19.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End1.9
Third
4384
#22
15.80.5
12.312.8
Auto2.7
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 7.9
5467
#30
7.93.9
13.09.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed