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Red79
570826.0
317538.0
785611.5
Blue47
125023.5
516712.2
759712.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82662040601001207947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+50Teleop
+44Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
4Coral points0
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +43
12Coral scored#4
44Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
62Total teleop19
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +6
4Cage & park10
4Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points12
79Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.8
39.140.0
Auto8.1
Teleop28.1
End1.8
red by 14.4
1250
#25
23.52.7
23.721.0
Auto6.1
Teleop14.1
End3.3
Second
5708
#34
26.00.8
22.723.6
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End1.5
red by 13.8
7597
#26
12.32.7
15.813.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.0
Third
7856
#27
11.50.8
9.710.5
Auto5.9
Teleop4.4
End1.2
blue by 0.7
5167
#31
12.22.7
19.817.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned