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Red81
360435.5
657034.7
285116.9
Blue117
170150.8
509019.4
24739.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92892040608010012014016081117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+38
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave3
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points34
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +10
13Coral scored#13
48Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
66Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
81Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#23
35.51.0
36.535.5
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End2.4
blue by 15.3
50.83.1
38.041.1
Auto14.9
Teleop34.6
End1.3
Second
6570
#10
34.71.0
21.520.5
Auto3.6
Teleop25.2
End5.9
blue by 4.5
247
#17
39.23.1
19.422.5
Auto5.4
Teleop29.6
End4.2
Third
2851
#24
16.91.0
20.919.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.7
End1.4
blue by 2.4
5090
#15
19.43.1
20.523.6
Auto6.6
Teleop9.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed