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Red45
1028510.2
877411.8
549819.7
Blue59
438415.8
661831.4
914810.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53510204060804559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+20
Endgame+20
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +17
4Coral scored#7
15Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
29Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#1
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
6Foul points0
45Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5498
#32
19.71.1
20.018.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.7
End0.8
blue by 11.7
6618
#21
31.40.8
23.224.0
Auto5.7
Teleop22.2
End3.5
Second
8774
#38
11.81.1
13.712.6
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End3.0
blue by 3.9
4384
#22
15.80.8
12.813.6
Auto2.7
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
10.21.1
10.19.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 0.2
9148
#40
10.50.8
9.610.4
Auto2.2
Teleop7.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed