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Red89
341433.8
468023.4
557734.9
Blue85
967916.5
1057712.8
543635.0
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8356020401001201408985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+2Teleop
Endgame+10
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave9
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +12
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
60Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
18Foul points4
89Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.90.2
22.422.1
Auto4.8
Teleop29.1
End1.0
blue by 0.1
5436
#13
35.03.0
29.932.9
Auto7.5
Teleop19.5
End8.1
Second
33.80.2
29.929.7
Auto9.0
Teleop21.5
End3.2
red by 17.3
9679
#16
16.53.0
7.510.5
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End3.7
Third
4680
#29
23.40.2
17.917.6
Auto3.0
Teleop19.5
End0.8
red by 10.6
12.83.0
13.916.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned