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Red48
759712.3
656616.7
1057712.8
Blue27
516712.2
549819.7
570826.0
16%Model gave it84%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446702060801004827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
2Coral scored#3
8Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
8Total teleop14
Reef
1L4#1
2L3#2
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
24Foul points0
48Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6566
#19
16.72.0
12.210.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.1
End3.5
blue by 9.3
5708
#34
26.03.6
23.619.9
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End1.5
Second
12.82.0
16.914.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.8
End2.5
blue by 6.9
5498
#32
19.73.6
18.915.2
Auto5.1
Teleop13.7
End0.8
Third
7597
#26
12.32.0
13.111.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.0
red by 0.1
5167
#31
12.23.6
17.113.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed