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Red87
776950.1
543635.0
438415.8
Blue134
353856.8
341433.8
102536.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97122608014016018087134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+49
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
5Coral scored#9
27Coral points45
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +28
9Coral scored#16
33Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
51Total teleop79
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#5
4L2#8
3L1 · trough#6
18Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
87Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.10.3
40.540.2
Auto8.0
Teleop33.8
End8.3
blue by 6.8
56.82.8
46.749.5
Auto18.1
Teleop37.6
End1.1
Second
5436
#13
35.00.3
32.932.6
Auto7.5
Teleop19.5
End8.1
blue by 1.9
36.92.8
29.832.6
Auto10.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
Third
4384
#22
15.80.3
13.613.3
Auto2.7
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 18.0
33.82.8
29.732.5
Auto9.0
Teleop21.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsMissed