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Red8
877411.8
586020.7
54677.9
Blue83
967916.5
30232.7
785611.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57551020304050708090883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+51
Endgame+51
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +38
0Coral scored#8
0Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
0Total teleop38
Reef
0L4#4
0L3#2
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
0Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points24
8Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5860
#18
20.74.7
26.722.0
Auto5.4
Teleop15.1
End0.2
blue by 12.0
302
#14
32.70.6
29.229.8
Auto7.5
Teleop24.3
End0.9
Second
8774
#38
11.84.7
12.67.9
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End3.0
blue by 4.6
9679
#16
16.50.6
10.511.2
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End3.7
Third
5467
#30DQ
7.94.7
10.86.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End1.0
blue by 3.6
7856
#27
11.50.6
10.511.2
Auto5.9
Teleop4.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed