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Red74
24739.2
1057712.8
54677.9
Blue76
785611.5
353856.8
586020.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions449702060801201401607476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+22
Endgame+8
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave6
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points24
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +11
7Coral scored#7
25Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
33Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#16
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points0
74Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#17
39.22.6
23.626.2
Auto5.4
Teleop29.6
End4.2
blue by 17.6
56.80.7
49.548.8
Auto18.1
Teleop37.6
End1.1
Second
12.82.6
14.917.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.8
End2.5
blue by 7.9
5860
#18
20.70.7
22.021.3
Auto5.4
Teleop15.1
End0.2
Third
5467
#30
7.92.6
6.18.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End1.0
blue by 3.6
7856
#27
11.50.7
11.210.4
Auto5.9
Teleop4.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed