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Red107
557734.9
360435.5
170150.8
Blue46
468023.4
952813.7
877411.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1213505010015010746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+59Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave6
4Coral scored#0
19Coral points0
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +46
14Coral scored#7
52Coral points26
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
18Processor points6
12Net points4
30Algae points10
82Total teleop36
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
107Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.80.3
39.639.9
Auto14.9
Teleop34.6
End1.3
red by 27.4
4680
#29
23.40.3
18.819.1
Auto3.0
Teleop19.5
End0.8
Second
3604
#23
35.50.3
34.434.7
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End2.4
red by 21.9
9528
#39
13.70.3
10.911.1
Auto4.2
Teleop8.3
End1.2
Third
34.90.3
24.725.1
Auto4.8
Teleop29.1
End1.0
red by 23.1
8774
#38
11.80.3
7.98.2
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed