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Red145
3360.4
285116.9
661831.4
Blue71
30232.7
570826.0
828025.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105672040608012014016014571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+62Teleop
+74Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
26Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +55
25Coral scored#10
89Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
0Processor points6
16Net points8
16Algae points14
105Total teleop50
Reef
10L4#4
5L3#2
9L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points0
145Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
60.45.0
45.550.5
Auto11.6
Teleop39.7
End9.1
red by 27.7
302
#14
32.70.4
29.829.4
Auto7.5
Teleop24.3
End0.9
Second
6618
#21
31.45.0
25.230.2
Auto5.7
Teleop22.2
End3.5
red by 5.4
5708
#34
26.00.4
19.919.6
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End1.5
Third
2851
#24
16.95.0
17.722.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.7
End1.4
blue by 8.0
8280
#20
25.00.4
13.312.9
Auto7.2
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed