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Red132
557734.9
317538.0
30232.7
Blue86
1057712.8
438415.8
360435.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112732040608010012014016013286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+44Teleop
+40Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +41
25Coral scored#14
91Coral points52
0Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
0Processor points6
20Net points12
20Algae points18
111Total teleop70
Reef
11L4#5
5L3#5
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
6Foul points0
132Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.02.2
40.342.5
Auto8.1
Teleop28.1
End1.8
red by 2.4
3604
#23
35.50.9
34.735.6
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End2.4
Second
34.92.2
25.127.3
Auto4.8
Teleop29.1
End1.0
red by 19.2
4384
#22
15.80.9
14.815.7
Auto2.7
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
302
#14
32.72.2
29.431.7
Auto7.5
Teleop24.3
End0.9
red by 19.9
12.80.9
17.518.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed