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Qual 412025 FIM District Ferndale Event presented by Magna
Red70
785611.5
516712.2
6846.6
Blue115
54677.9
776950.1
170150.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6410420408012014070115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+33
Endgame+43
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
4Coral scored#4
19Coral points20
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +26
7Coral scored#13
25Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
47Total teleop73
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#5
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points2
70Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#6
46.60.3
37.2→36.9
Auto8.7
Teleop30.8
End7.2
blue by 4.1
1701
#2
50.81.2
41.3→42.5
Auto14.9
Teleop34.6
End1.3
Second
5167
#31
12.20.3
15.4→15.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
blue by 37.8
7769
#7
50.11.2
42.2→43.4
Auto8.0
Teleop33.8
End8.3
Third
7856
#27
11.50.3
9.1→8.8
Auto5.9
Teleop4.4
End1.2
red by 3.6
5467
#30
7.91.2
7.4→8.6
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned