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Red53
125023.5
828025.0
438415.8
Blue153
3360.4
24739.2
360435.5
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46146010020053153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+82
Endgame+94
Fouls+100
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +68
8Coral scored#24
28Coral points86
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
42Total teleop110
Reef
4L4#13
3L3#5
2L2#6
1L1 · trough#5
13Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +100
0Foul points6
53Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8280
#20
25.00.0
17.517.5
Auto7.2
Teleop15.7
End2.1
blue by 35.4
33
#1
60.42.3
52.454.7
Auto11.6
Teleop39.7
End9.1
Second
1250
#25
23.50.0
17.117.1
Auto6.1
Teleop14.1
End3.3
blue by 15.7
247
#17
39.22.3
29.832.0
Auto5.4
Teleop29.6
End4.2
Third
4384
#22
15.80.0
15.715.6
Auto2.7
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 19.8
3604
#23
35.52.3
35.637.9
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsEarned