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Red34
952813.7
65678.2
564211.4
Blue31
505012.7
1057712.8
914810.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4057020801003431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
5Coral scored#3
17Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
21Total teleop18
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
34Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9528
#39
13.70.2
15.815.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.3
End1.2
red by 0.9
12.81.9
18.416.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.8
End2.5
Second
5642
#37
11.40.2
16.216.0
Auto1.7
Teleop7.6
End2.1
blue by 1.2
5050
#36
12.71.9
16.814.9
Auto2.5
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Third
6567
#33
8.20.2
4.13.9
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End1.9
blue by 2.2
9148
#40
10.51.9
12.911.0
Auto2.2
Teleop7.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed