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Red77
341433.8
317538.0
549819.7
Blue103
557734.9
118835.6
586020.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008620406012014016018077103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+30
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
15Coral points13
24Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +38
10Coral scored#17
35Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
49Total teleop87
Reef
6L4#8
3L3#6
1L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#26
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
77Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.02.3
42.540.3
Auto8.1
Teleop28.1
End1.8
red by 2.4
1188
#12
35.61.9
25.427.3
Auto4.7
Teleop28.7
End2.2
Second
33.82.3
29.727.4
Auto9.0
Teleop21.5
End3.2
blue by 1.1
34.91.9
27.329.2
Auto4.8
Teleop29.1
End1.0
Third
5498
#32
19.72.3
16.914.6
Auto5.1
Teleop13.7
End0.8
blue by 1.1
5860
#18
20.71.9
24.826.7
Auto5.4
Teleop15.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed