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Red150
6846.6
570826.0
543635.0
Blue116
1028510.2
30232.7
170150.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10396406080120140160150116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+8Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points31
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +19
18Coral scored#11
66Coral points41
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
98Total teleop79
Reef
10L4#7
5L3#6
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#25
BargeRed +26
26Cage & park0
26Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
150Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#6
46.65.0
36.941.9
Auto8.7
Teleop30.8
End7.2
blue by 4.1
50.82.1
42.544.6
Auto14.9
Teleop34.6
End1.3
Second
5436
#13
35.05.3
31.937.2
Auto7.5
Teleop19.5
End8.1
red by 2.3
302
#14
32.72.3
31.733.9
Auto7.5
Teleop24.3
End0.9
Third
5708
#34
26.05.4
18.924.3
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End1.5
red by 15.8
10.22.3
7.69.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed