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Red96
967916.5
553042.2
360435.5
Blue147
776950.1
24739.2
661831.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94122608010014016096147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+41
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave0
4Coral scored#5
22Coral points23
22Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +40
12Coral scored#19
44Coral points68
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
58Total teleop98
Reef
5L4#12
5L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
96Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#11
42.20.5
34.935.4
Auto9.2
Teleop26.6
End6.4
blue by 7.9
50.13.7
43.447.1
Auto8.0
Teleop33.8
End8.3
Second
3604
#23
35.50.5
37.938.4
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End2.4
blue by 3.7
247
#17
39.23.7
32.035.8
Auto5.4
Teleop29.6
End4.2
Third
9679
#16
16.50.5
12.312.8
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End3.7
blue by 14.9
6618
#21
31.43.7
26.830.5
Auto5.7
Teleop22.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned