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Red61
468023.4
914810.5
759712.3
Blue89
438415.8
549819.7
557734.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50720204060801001206189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+36
Endgame+34
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +33
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points41
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
42Total teleop75
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
6Foul points0
61Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4680
#29
23.40.5
21.320.8
Auto3.0
Teleop19.5
End0.8
blue by 11.6
34.91.7
29.230.9
Auto4.8
Teleop29.1
End1.0
Second
7597
#26
12.30.5
12.211.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.0
blue by 7.4
5498
#32
19.71.7
14.616.3
Auto5.1
Teleop13.7
End0.8
Third
9148
#40
10.50.5
11.010.5
Auto2.2
Teleop7.2
End1.1
blue by 5.3
4384
#22
15.81.7
15.617.4
Auto2.7
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed