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Red68
586020.7
1028510.2
317538.0
Blue96
353856.8
877411.8
570826.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8810260801201401606896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +22
9Coral scored#12
34Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
48Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points2
68Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.9
40.339.3
Auto8.1
Teleop28.1
End1.8
blue by 18.8
56.80.6
52.152.6
Auto18.1
Teleop37.6
End1.1
Second
5860
#18
20.70.9
26.725.8
Auto5.4
Teleop15.1
End0.2
blue by 5.3
5708
#34
26.00.6
24.324.8
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End1.5
Third
10.20.9
9.99.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 1.6
8774
#38
11.80.6
12.212.8
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed