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Red39
509019.4
54677.9
952813.7
Blue74
543635.0
30232.7
505012.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5010701503974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+35
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +31
6Coral scored#11
20Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#1
6Processor points12
0Net points4
6Algae points16
26Total teleop57
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
39Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5090
#15
19.41.3
21.820.6
Auto6.6
Teleop9.4
End3.4
blue by 15.7
5436
#13
35.01.9
37.235.3
Auto7.5
Teleop19.5
End8.1
Second
9528
#39
13.71.3
15.514.3
Auto4.2
Teleop8.3
End1.2
blue by 19.1
302
#14
32.71.9
33.932.1
Auto7.5
Teleop24.3
End0.9
Third
5467
#30
7.91.3
8.67.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End1.0
blue by 4.8
5050
#36
12.71.9
14.913.0
Auto2.5
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed