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Red102
656616.7
828025.0
657034.7
Blue54
1057712.8
341433.8
785611.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546120408010010254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+36Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points12
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +39
14Coral scored#7
50Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
74Total teleop35
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
102Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6570
#10
34.74.4
24.829.2
Auto3.6
Teleop25.2
End5.9
red by 0.9
33.80.9
27.426.5
Auto9.0
Teleop21.5
End3.2
Second
8280
#20
25.04.4
17.521.9
Auto7.2
Teleop15.7
End2.1
red by 12.2
12.80.9
16.515.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.8
End2.5
Third
6566
#19
16.74.4
5.09.4
Auto3.2
Teleop10.1
End3.5
red by 5.3
7856
#27
11.50.9
8.87.9
Auto5.9
Teleop4.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed