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Red115
516712.2
553042.2
3360.4
Blue133
170150.8
118835.6
468023.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231066080100140160180115133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+30
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +37
13Coral scored#21
47Coral points74
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
71Total teleop108
Reef
6L4#10
5L3#5
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#33
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
115Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
60.40.1
54.554.6
Auto11.6
Teleop39.7
End9.1
red by 9.6
50.82.8
44.647.4
Auto14.9
Teleop34.6
End1.3
Second
5530
#11
42.20.1
35.435.5
Auto9.2
Teleop26.6
End6.4
red by 6.6
1188
#12
35.63.0
27.330.2
Auto4.7
Teleop28.7
End2.2
Third
5167
#31
12.20.1
15.115.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
blue by 11.1
4680
#29
23.42.8
20.823.6
Auto3.0
Teleop19.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed