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Red32
914810.5
586020.7
967916.5
Blue102
317538.0
125023.5
353856.8
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42126010015032102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+64
Endgame+70
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +25
9Leave0
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points34
9Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +39
5Coral scored#12
17Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
23Total teleop62
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#7
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points0
32Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5860
#18
20.71.6
25.824.1
Auto5.4
Teleop15.1
End0.2
blue by 36.1
56.80.7
52.652.0
Auto18.1
Teleop37.6
End1.1
Second
9679
#16
16.51.6
12.811.1
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End3.7
blue by 21.5
38.00.7
39.338.7
Auto8.1
Teleop28.1
End1.8
Third
9148
#40
10.51.6
10.58.9
Auto2.2
Teleop7.2
End1.1
blue by 13.0
1250
#25
23.50.7
16.816.2
Auto6.1
Teleop14.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed