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Red66
118835.6
785611.5
759712.3
Blue64
564211.4
661831.4
543635.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56982040801201401606664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+10Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
11Coral scored#8
38Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
48Total teleop41
Reef
6L4#4
2L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
66Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
#12
35.61.0
30.231.2
Auto4.7
Teleop28.7
End2.2
red by 0.5
5436
#13
35.02.3
35.333.0
Auto7.5
Teleop19.5
End8.1
Second
7597
#26
12.31.0
11.812.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.0
blue by 19.1
6618
#21
31.42.3
30.528.2
Auto5.7
Teleop22.2
End3.5
Third
7856
#27
11.51.0
7.98.8
Auto5.9
Teleop4.4
End1.2
red by 0.1
5642
#37
11.42.3
13.110.8
Auto1.7
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned