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Red92
102536.9
360435.5
828025.0
Blue60
468023.4
586020.7
30232.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111894060801001201401601809260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+28Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +14
12Coral scored#9
44Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
62Total teleop48
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#13
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
92Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.9
34.833.9
Auto10.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
red by 4.2
302
#14
32.72.5
31.428.9
Auto7.5
Teleop24.3
End0.9
Second
3604
#23
35.50.9
38.037.2
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End2.4
red by 12.2
4680
#29
23.42.5
23.621.1
Auto3.0
Teleop19.5
End0.8
Third
8280
#20
25.00.9
23.122.2
Auto7.2
Teleop15.7
End2.1
red by 4.2
5860
#18
20.72.5
24.121.6
Auto5.4
Teleop15.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed