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Red44
509019.4
570826.0
1057712.8
Blue101
553042.2
914810.5
549819.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646720408010044101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+49
Endgame+49
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +38
6Coral scored#14
20Coral points52
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
28Total teleop66
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points8
44Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5708
#34
26.01.3
24.723.4
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End1.5
blue by 16.2
5530
#11
42.22.9
35.538.4
Auto9.2
Teleop26.6
End6.4
Second
5090
#15
19.41.3
21.320.0
Auto6.6
Teleop9.4
End3.4
blue by 0.3
5498
#32
19.72.9
15.718.6
Auto5.1
Teleop13.7
End0.8
Third
12.81.3
12.811.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.8
End2.5
red by 2.3
9148
#40
10.52.9
8.911.8
Auto2.2
Teleop7.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed