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Red87
317538.0
505012.7
776950.1
Blue58
285116.9
543635.0
877411.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121690204060801001401608758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+39Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
6Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
27Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +24
12Coral scored#5
42Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
0Processor points0
12Net points12
12Algae points12
54Total teleop30
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#2
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
87Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.11.2
47.746.6
Auto8.0
Teleop33.8
End8.3
red by 15.0
5436
#13
35.00.6
33.032.5
Auto7.5
Teleop19.5
End8.1
Second
38.01.2
38.737.5
Auto8.1
Teleop28.1
End1.8
red by 21.0
2851
#24
16.90.6
17.216.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.7
End1.4
Third
5050
#36
12.71.2
13.812.6
Auto2.5
Teleop9.4
End0.8
red by 0.8
8774
#38
11.80.6
14.013.4
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned