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Red50
438415.8
785611.5
952813.7
Blue129
6846.6
967916.5
656616.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44780206010012014016050129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+59
Endgame+73
Fouls+79
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
12Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +38
6Coral scored#14
22Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
36Total teleop74
Reef
2L4#8
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +79
0Foul points6
50Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4384
#22
15.80.0
18.118.2
Auto2.7
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 30.9
68
#6
46.64.2
43.047.2
Auto8.7
Teleop30.8
End7.2
Second
9528
#39
13.70.0
13.613.7
Auto4.2
Teleop8.3
End1.2
blue by 3.1
6566
#19
16.74.2
10.014.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.1
End3.5
Third
7856
#27
11.50.0
8.88.9
Auto5.9
Teleop4.4
End1.2
blue by 5.0
9679
#16
16.54.2
11.115.3
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
4%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned