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Red122
54677.9
3360.4
341433.8
Blue85
661831.4
759712.3
360435.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107865015012285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+25Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +21
15Coral scored#14
55Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
83Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#6
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
122Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
60.42.7
54.657.3
Auto11.6
Teleop39.7
End9.1
red by 24.9
3604
#23
35.50.6
37.237.7
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End2.4
Second
33.82.5
29.732.2
Auto9.0
Teleop21.5
End3.2
red by 2.4
6618
#21
31.40.6
28.228.8
Auto5.7
Teleop22.2
End3.5
Third
5467
#30
7.92.7
7.09.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End1.0
blue by 4.4
7597
#26
12.30.6
12.713.4
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed