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Red98
570826.0
1028510.2
24739.2
Blue103
1057712.8
468023.4
553042.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7981406010012098103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+9Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +20
13Coral scored#13
46Coral points46
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
80Total teleop60
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points6
98Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#17
39.21.5
38.239.7
Auto5.4
Teleop29.6
End4.2
blue by 3.0
5530
#11
42.21.1
38.439.6
Auto9.2
Teleop26.6
End6.4
Second
5708
#34
26.01.5
23.424.8
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End1.5
red by 2.7
4680
#29
23.41.1
21.122.2
Auto3.0
Teleop19.5
End0.8
Third
10.21.5
9.310.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 2.6
12.81.1
11.512.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned